International Workshop on Advancement of Typhoon Track Forecast Technique 

Date: 30 November (Mon.) 2009 - 2 December (Wed.) 

Place: The Nippon Foundation Building (2F) 


30 November (Monday) 

Photo on 30 Nov.


09:00 - 09:30 Registration 

Keynote Presentations (for Japanese public, with translation) 

09:30 - 09:40 Opening Kunio Sakurai / JMA 

Chairperson Hitoshi Takada / NHK Weather Caster 

09:40 - 10:20 Present status and future challenges of tropical cyclone forecasting Kiichi Sasaki / JMA  

10:20 - 11:00 Global tropical cyclone forecasting for days, weeks and a season ahead Martin Miller / ECMWF  

11:00 - 11:40 Impact of Special Observations for TC Track Forecasts in T-PARC 2008 Tetsuo Nakazawa / MRI  

11:40 - 12:20 THORPEX and related natural disaster mitigation activities in WMO David Parsons / WMO  

12:20 - 12:30 Closing Nobuo Sato / MRI 

12:30 - 12:45 Group Photo 

12:45 - 13:45 Lunch

Expert Meeting

13:45 - 13:50 Opening Tetsuo Nakazawa / MRI 

Session1 Current Status of Typhoon Track Forecast Technique

Chairperson Kiichi Sasaki / JMA 

13:50 - 14:20 Recent progress on tropical cyclone prediction at ECMWF Martin Miller/ ECMWF  

14:20 - 14:50 Aircraft observations of tropical cyclones : Lessons learned and the future Sim Aberson / NOAA  

14:50 - 15:20 Flow dependent satellite thinning during the typhoon season Carla Cardinali / ECMWF  

15:20 - 15:40 Coffee Break  

Chairperson Takeshi Enomoto /JAMSTEC 

15:40 - 16:10 On the ability of global ensemble prediction systems to predict tropical cyclone track probabilities Sharan Majumdar/ University of Miami  

16:10 - 16:40 Decision support system for prevention and mitigation of meteorological disasters based on ensemble NWP data : an experimental use for the forecasts of Nargis Shigeo Yoden / Kyoto University  

16:40 - 17:10 Discussion and Summary 

18:30 - 20:30 Welcome Reception 


1 December (Tuesday)

Photo on 1st Dec.


Session2 T-PARC 2008 Related Studies

Chairperson Takuya Komori / JMA

10:00 - 10:30 Typhoon Sinlaku during T-PARC : Sensitivity of re-intensification and downstream development to the track following recurvature Patrick A. Harr / NPS

10:30 - 11:00 Lessons learned from Falcon observations in T-PARC 2008 Martin Weissmann / DLR

11:00 - 11:30 NRL research from T-PARC/TCS-08 Carolyn Reynolds / NRL

11:30 - 12:00 Impact of targeted dropsonde observations on the typhoon forecasts during T-PARC Hyun Mee Kim / Yonsei University

12:00 - 13:30 Lunch

Chairperson Kiyotomi Sato / JMA

13:30 - 14:00 JMA sensitivity analysis in T-PARC Takuya Komori / JMA

14:00 - 14:30 Observing system experiments using the operational NWP system of JMA with T-PARC 2008 special observations targeted for Typhoon Sinlaku Koji Yamashita / JMA

14:30 - 15:00 Observing system experiments using the operational NWP system of JMA with T-PARC 2008 special observations targeted for Typhoon Jangmi Koichiro Ohta / JMA

15:00 - 15:20 Coffee Break

Chairperson Patrick A. Harr / NPS

15:20 - 15:50 Targeted observation and data assimilation for tropical cyclones Chun-Chieh Wu / PSA

15:50 - 16:20 Variability in forecasts of the track of Typhoon Jangmi and its interaction with the midlatitude flow during T-PARC Sarah Jones / University of Karlsruhe

16:20 - 16:50 Observation and simulation of the genesis of Typhoon Fengshen during the PALAU-2008 field experiment Hiroyuki Yamada / JAMSTEC

16:50 - 17:20 Discussion and Summary


2nd December (Wednesday)

Photo on 2nd Dec.


Session3 Future Research Directions on Typhoon Forecast

Chairperson Martin Miller / ECMWF

10:00 - 10:30 Impact of typhoon on ocean in Pacific (ITOP) 2010 : high-resolution coupled modeling Shuyi S. Chen / University of Miami

10:30 - 11:00 Tropical cyclone simulations with the global cloud-resolving model NICAM Masaki Sato / CCSR

11:00 - 11:30 High-resolution simulation of typhoon using a cloud-resolving model Kazuhisa Tsuboki / Nagoya University

11:30 - 12:00 Reanalysis of Typhoon Vera project in JMA/MRI : ReVera Kotaro Bessho / MRI

12:00 - 13:30 Lunch

Chairperson David Parsons / WMO

13:30 - 14:00 Introduction of "the Northwestern Pacific Tropical Cyclone Ensemble Track Forecast Research Project" Tetsuo Nakazawa / MRI

14:00 - 14:30 Improvement of the JMA typhoon track forecast Kenji Kishimoto / JMA

14:30 - 15:00 The impact of Kelvin waves on the field around typhoons -Observing system experiment of MISMO - Qoousaku Moteki / JAMSTEC

15:00 - 15:20 Coffee Break

Chairperson Tetsuo Nakazaw / MRI

15:20 - 15:50 Atmospheric uncertainty associated with typhoon genesis estimated in ensemble reanalysis ALERA Takeshi Enomoto / JAMSTEC

15:50 - 16:20 Tropical cyclogenesis frequency simulated by CMIP3 climate models and multi-model based future projection Satoru Yokoi / CCSR

16:20 - 16:50 Discussion and Summary

16:50 Closing Remarks