YAMAGUCHI Munehiko

Job title	Head/The 1st lab./Department of Typhoon and Severe Weather Research
E-mail
Personal	http://www.mri-jma.go.jp/Dep/typ/myamagu/indexE.html
Expertise	Tropical cyclone track, intensity, and genesis forecasts. Tropical cyclone aircraft and adaptive observations. Ensemble forecasts. Climate change and tropical cyclones
Degree	Ph.D.
Publications	Lee, W., M. Yamaguchi(corresponding author), Y.-H. He, Y.-S. Lui, Z. Sun, X. Fan, G. Nie, and Y. Ikuta, 2026: Evaluation of AI-based tropical cyclone forecasts in the western North Pacific: Insights from the 2024 Typhoon Committee ET-AITC multi model dataset, Artificial Intelligence for the Earth Systems (In Press) Yamaguchi, M., Y. Ikuta, K. Ito, and M. Satoh, 2025: Tropical Cyclone Track and Intensity Predictions in the Western North Pacific Basin Using Pangu-Weather and JMA Initial Conditions, J. Meteor. Soc. Japan, 103, 357-370. Yamaguchi, M., N. Usui, and N. Hirose, 2024: Typhoon Intensity Forecasts using TIFS with Pseudo Ocean Coupling, SOLA, 20, 86-91. Yamaguchi, M., T. Nakaegawa, and L. Magnusson, 2023: Utilizing Ensemble Reforecast Data for Reservoir Operation, Journal of Japan Society of Hydrology & Water Resources, 36, 52-62. Kawabata, Y., U. Shimada, and M. Yamaguchi, 2023: The 30-year (1987-2016) Trend of Strong Typhoons and Genesis Locations Found in the Japan Meteorological Agency's Dvorak Reanalysis Data, J. Meteor. Soc. Japan, 101, 435-443. Yamaguchi, M., and S. Maeda, 2020: Slowdown of typhoon translation speeds in mid-latitudes in September influenced by the Pacific Decadal Oscillation and global warming, , J. Meteor. Soc. Japan., 98, 1321-1334. Yamaguchi, M., and S. Maeda, 2020: Increase in the Number of Tropical Cyclones Approaching Tokyo Since 1980, J. Meteor. Soc. Japan, 98, 775-786. Yamaguchi, M., J. C. L. Chan, I.-J. Moon, K. Yoshida, and R. Mizuta, 2020: Global warming changes tropical cyclone translation speed, Nature Communications, 11, 47. Fukuda, J., and M. Yamaguchi, 2019: Determining 70 Percent Probability-Circle Radii of Tropical Cyclone Track Forecasts with Multiple Ensembles, SOLA, 15, 250-256. Titley, H. A., M. Yamaguchi, L. Magnusson, 2019: Current and potential use of ensemble forecasts in operational TC forecasting: results from a global forecaster survey, Tropical Cyclone Research and Review, 8(3), 166-180. Yamaguchi, M., H. Owada, U. Shimada, M. Sawada, T. Iriguchi, K. D. Musgrave, and M. DeMaria, 2018: Tropical Cyclone Intensity Prediction in the Western North Pacific Basin using SHIPS and JMA/GSM, SOLA, 14, 138-143. Yamaguchi, M., J. Ishida, H. Sato, and M. Nakagawa, 2017: WGNE Intercomparison of Tropical Cyclone Forecasts by Operational Global Models: A Quarter-Century and Beyond, Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 98, 2337-2349. Yamaguchi, and N. Koide, 2017: Tropical cyclone genesis guidance using the early stage Dvorak analysis and global ensembles, Wea. Forecasting, 32, 2133-2141. Swinbank, R., M. Kyouda, P. Buchanan, L. Froude, T. M. Hamill, T. D. Hewson, J. H. Keller, M. Matsueda, J. Methven, F. Pappenberger, M. Scheuerer, H. A. Titley, L. Wilson, and M. Yamaguchi, 2016: The TIGGE Project and its Achievements, Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 97, 49-67. Yamaguchi, M., S. Lang, M. Leutbecher, M. Rodwell, G. Radnoti and N. Bormann, 2016: Observation-based evaluation of ensemble reliability, Q. J. R. Meteorol. Soc., 142, 506-514. Rodwell, M. J., S. T. K. Lang, N. B. Ingleby, N. Bormann, E. Holm, F. Rabier, D. S. Richardson, and M. Yamaguchi, 2016: Reliability in Ensemble Data Assimilation, Q. J. R. Meteorol. Soc., 142, 443-454. Yamaguchi, M., F. Vitart, S. T. K. Lang, L. Magnusson, R. L. Elsberry, G. Elliott, M. Kyouda, and T. Nakazawa, 2015: Global distribution on the skill of tropical cyclone activity forecasts from short- to medium-range time scales, Weather and Forecasting, 30, 1695-1709.
Project